Interesting. Hadn't thought of it this way. So even if examination gets better (from an Applicant's point of view) as a result of Kappos influence and directives, there will be a substantial lag in the Kappos effect at the BPAI. Or, put another way, we've yet to even feel the impact of the Dudas effect at the BPAI.
I've had a few conversations with examiners -- both new and experienced (and no longer at the PTO). I know a little about the author the that BPAI decision I referred to above and I understand he is (was) a Dudas darling. I also hear that new examiners often want to allow a case (or at least have reached the conclusion that some claims ought to be allowed) but some (and I emphasize, just some) are constrained by an SPE who refuses to allow anything. Some new examiners are pressured by their SPE into pushing rejections that they think are not proper.
The Dudas influence appears to be mostly in primaries, SPEs, and moving into the BPAI -- as far as I can tell. It will eventually be flushed out. Can't happen too soon in my opinion. Soon, I'll probably drop my strategy of appealing early and often.
FWIW, I'm somewhat encouraged by new examiners. While it may take an extra non-final OA or 2, I'm seeing good rejections -- stuff that actually makes me amend the claims. Gives me some faith in the future of the system.
Regards.